Manifold Markets

manifold.markets

Manifold Markets is the world's largest social prediction market, providing accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more. Users can win cash prizes for their predictions on sweepstakes markets, with no purchase necessary. The platform is well-calibrated, with forecasts averaging within 4 percentage points of true probabilities, and it outperformed other prediction market platforms during the 2022 US midterm elections. Manifold aims to combat misleading news by incentivizing traders to be fast and correct, helping users make informed decisions about future events.